Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 44.84 | $0.446 | $1.28 | -$18.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.089 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.320 |
| $20 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 44.84 | $0.446 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.01 | $0.056 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 192.85 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.266 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.370 | $40.22 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 178.6 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 25 | $0.141 | $3.52 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 19.69 | $0.991 | $19.51 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 19.69 | $0.330 | $6.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 38.21 | $0.262 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?No | sell | 10.16 | $0.942 | $9.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.098 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 100.97 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 519.34 | $0.818 | $424.93 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 193 | $0.920 | $177.56 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.300 | $22.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 164.87 | $0.173 | $28.52 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ETDown | buy | 43.75 | $0.114 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ETDown | buy | 41.54 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ETDown | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9PM ETDown | buy | 13.42 | $0.373 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ETUp | buy | 90 | $0.056 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8PM ETUp | buy | 74.29 | $0.067 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ETDown | sell | 59.92 | $0.290 | $17.38 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ETDown | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ETDown | buy | 17 | $0.294 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6PM ETDown | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ETUp | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5PM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ETUp | sell | 44.85 | $0.087 | $3.89 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ETUp | buy | 33.23 | $0.301 | $10 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ETDown | sell | 12 | $0.650 | $7.8 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ETUp | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 |