Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russell Henley win the 2026 RBC Heritage?No | buy | 8.28 | $0.954 | $7.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
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Shadowy-Mantua is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,052,211 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$16.99 observed lifetime PnL, 55 distinct markets, 23 resolved positions, a 60.9% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x989b3f7fe6f0efd9e1516f74fe95c25cbcb49001
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 8.42 |
| $0.930 |
| $7.83 |
| Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 18?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.940 | $5.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 17?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.900 | $5.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 16?No | buy | 0.94 | $0.920 | $0.86 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.841 | $5.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 16?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?Yes | buy | 6.42 | $0.960 | $6.16 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $310?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.800 | $6.1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 9.17 | $0.915 | $8.39 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 12?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 7AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.45 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsHeroic | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 12?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 12?No | sell | 5 | $0.823 | $4.12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned FrogsOklahoma State Cowboys | buy | 499.98 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No | sell | 8.35 | $0.853 | $7.12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 9.11 | $0.956 | $8.71 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.954 | $8.77 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.949 | $8.7 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.932 | $7.78 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Korea make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?No | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?No | sell | 5.89 | $0.840 | $4.95 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 12?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.910 | $5.36 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 12?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.890 | $7.57 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on March 12?No | buy | 6.43 | $0.954 | $6.13 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?No | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 11?No | buy | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris ColonialsRobert Morris Colonials | buy | 499.98 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Over | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers76ers | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.