Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67.35 | $0.690 | $50.18 | +$3.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.995 | $5.78 | 15d ago |
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| Yes |
| 96.42 |
| $0.264 |
| $45.46 |
| +$19.98 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 62.48 | $0.583 | $28.43 | -$8.02 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 30.01 | $0.880 | $26.26 | -$0.15 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 29.85 | $0.819 | $25.82 | +$1.38 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 26.37 | $0.945 | $25.43 | +$0.51 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 27.01 | $0.634 | $23.9 | +$6.78 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 23.9 | $0.939 | $22.65 | +$0.2 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 21.89 | $0.858 | $19.92 | +$1.14 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 20.62 | $0.846 | $19.8 | +$2.36 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 28.87 | $0.696 | $19.49 | -$0.6 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 17.14 | $0.943 | $16.65 | +$0.48 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 17.62 | $0.788 | $16.3 | +$2.41 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.75 | $0.677 | $15.49 | +$4.14 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 14.77 | $0.934 | $14.06 | +$0.27 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 14.22 | $0.829 | $13.91 | +$2.12 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 92.3 | $0.405 | $13.38 | -$24.04 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 19.73 | $0.640 | $13.22 | +$0.59 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 13.4 | $0.845 | $12.53 | +$1.21 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21.89 | $0.280 | $11.71 | +$5.58 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 11.74 | $0.930 | $11.56 | +$0.64 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.12 | $0.849 | $10.3 | -$0.85 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.29 | $0.591 | $10.15 | -$7.75 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 15.64 | $0.539 | $9.77 | +$1.33 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 9.54 | $0.780 | $9.36 | +$1.92 |
| sell |
| 6.81 |
| $0.980 |
| $6.67 |
| 15d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | sell | 6.3 | $0.980 | $6.17 | 15d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.980 | $6.28 | 15d ago |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 6.18 | $0.892 | $5.51 | 18d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.47 | $0.680 | $6.44 | 18d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 19.34 | $0.336 | $6.5 | 18d ago |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.954 | $5.48 | 18d ago |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.950 | $6.02 | 18d ago |
Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?Under | buy | 10.05 | $0.480 | $4.82 | 18d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.999 | $5.54 | 19d ago |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.920 | $6.06 | 23d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 5.78 | $0.999 | $5.77 | 24d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 9.08 | $0.999 | $9.07 | 24d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 6.11 | $0.999 | $6.1 | 24d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 6.13 | $0.999 | $6.12 | 24d ago |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.960 | $5.81 | 25d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 7.25 | $0.999 | $7.24 | Aug 11, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 6.04 | $0.999 | $6.03 | Aug 11, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.990 | $5.22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 5.82 | $0.997 | $5.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.990 | $6.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.440 | $5.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds | sell | 10.44 | $0.999 | $10.43 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 5.86 | $0.976 | $5.72 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.976 | $6.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.963 | $5.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.963 | $8.37 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 5.85 | $0.890 | $5.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.999 | $5.29 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.34 | $0.999 | $5.33 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 6.97 | $0.995 | $6.94 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.745 | $3.73 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.14 | $0.999 | $6.13 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.991 | $5.32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.888 | $6.34 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.850 | $5.28 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 7.16 | $0.660 | $4.73 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.560 | $2.84 | Jul 22, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.490 | $5.04 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.856 | $4.49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | sell | 5.54 | $0.990 | $5.48 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.670 | $3.36 | Jul 20, 2026 |
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.999 | $5.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.990 | $4.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 40.86 | $0.998 | $40.78 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |