Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.688 | $1.65 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 123.03 |
| $0.052 |
| $6.4 |
| May 24, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 123.04 | $0.079 | $9.72 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.940 | $2.09 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | May 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 6.26 | $0.140 | $0.88 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.894 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.510 | $4.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.511 | $4.91 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.19 | $0.829 | $0.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.98 | $0.489 | $0.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 8?Yes | buy | 53.47 | $0.088 | $4.7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.946 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. in January?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?Up | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 3?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things" have 4+ seasons in Netflix's top 5 this week?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Maduro receives asylum by December 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.716 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 28?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 2 2025)Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 27?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 27?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.244 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.83 | $0.194 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.731 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.796 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |