Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.152 | $1.79 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.085 |
| $1 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.690 | $1.08 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.147 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.770 | $2.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.969 | $1.13 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.710 | $1.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.853 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown | sell | 2.85 | $0.370 | $1.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 6 | $0.593 | $3.56 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.478 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.550 | $1.17 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 20.55 | $0.940 | $19.32 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.331 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.966 | $2.08 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.720 | $2.99 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.610 | $0.98 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.720 | $1.32 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.940 | $1.33 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.304 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.979 | $4.14 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.689 | $0.75 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.750 | $1.07 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.350 | $0.09 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.330 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.910 | $3.85 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.457 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.070 | $0.23 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.889 | $2 | Feb 16, 2026 |