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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.085 | $232.93 | -$73.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.900 | $0.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 437.12 |
| $0.510 |
| $220.74 |
| -$2.18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 390.09 | $0.446 | $173.59 | -$0.37 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.43K | $0.029 | $152.79 | +$23.83 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 145.32 | $0.843 | $144.02 | +$21.48 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 476.58 | $0.345 | $121.53 | -$43.17 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 102.95 | $0.690 | $97.29 | +$26.25 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 87.41 | $0.853 | $73.55 | -$1.01 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 145.2 | $0.410 | $66.07 | +$6.53 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 67.57 | $0.740 | $58.45 | +$8.45 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 67.57 | $0.740 | $57.77 | +$7.77 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 102.81 | $0.535 | $57.06 | +$2.06 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 60.32 | $0.910 | $56.4 | +$1.51 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 447.61 | $0.230 | $55.95 | -$47 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 69.44 | $0.720 | $54.51 | +$4.51 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.090 | $41.67 | -$8.33 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 39.5 | $0.800 | $33.58 | +$1.98 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.49 | $0.820 | $28.2 | +$3.2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 84.65 | $0.230 | $25.82 | +$6.35 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.54 | $0.239 | $18.59 | +$8.9 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 56.82 | $0.880 | $12.22 | -$37.78 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 11.88 | $0.897 | $10.77 | +$0.11 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 98.24 | $0.106 | $8.84 | -$1.54 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 8.59 | $0.780 | $7.22 | +$0.52 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $6.69 | +$1.69 |
| sell |
| 0.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $0.5 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.900 | $0.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.75 | $0.900 | $0.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.070 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 78.43 | $0.510 | $40 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.900 | $1.37 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.900 | $0.13 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.900 | $0.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.900 | $0.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.910 | $6.56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.760 | $3.79 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.750 | $0.12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 37.12 | $0.510 | $18.93 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.900 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.900 | $0.17 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.61 | $0.260 | $2.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 58.62 | $0.853 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.32 | $0.853 | $9.66 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 11.61 | $0.853 | $9.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.853 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 304.86 | $0.070 | $21.34 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.2 | $0.460 | $4.23 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 77.63 | $0.405 | $31.44 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 59.78 | $0.090 | $5.38 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.900 | $4.52 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.900 | $0.14 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.52 | $0.230 | $17.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |