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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | No | 93.4 | $0.403 | $37.36 | -$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 93.4 | $0.403 | $37.68 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 47.49 |
| $0.790 |
| $37.28 |
| -$0.24 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | Yes | 75.88 | $0.509 | $35.28 | -$3.36 |
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | Yes | 47.65 | $0.800 | $32.88 | -$5.24 |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | No | 130.36 | $0.280 | $30.63 | -$5.87 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 26.6 | $0.790 | $24.87 | +$3.86 |
| buy |
| 75.88 |
| $0.509 |
| $38.64 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 47.49 | $0.790 | $37.52 | 3d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 130.36 | $0.280 | $36.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 47.65 | $0.800 | $38.12 | 5d ago |
 Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 50.7 | $0.750 | $38.03 | 7d ago |
 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 53.77 | $0.733 | $39.39 | 8d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?No | buy | 112.74 | $0.365 | $41.15 | 12d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 59.32 | $0.690 | $40.93 | 13d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 65.08 | $0.590 | $38.4 | 15d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 49.86 | $0.770 | $38.39 | 16d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.01 | $0.710 | $37.64 | 17d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 58.62 | $0.650 | $38.1 | 18d ago |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | buy | 43.97 | $0.742 | $32.64 | 23d ago |
 Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?Yes | buy | 167.17 | $0.270 | $45.14 | 24d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.730 | $42.94 | 25d ago |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 49.53 | $0.790 | $39.13 | 25d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 53.93 | $0.734 | $39.61 | 27d ago |
 Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 86.11 | $0.790 | $68.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 149.04 | $0.460 | $68.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No | buy | 228.56 | $0.300 | $68.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 80.24 | $0.610 | $48.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 92.95 | $0.712 | $66.22 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Yes | buy | 101.11 | $0.620 | $62.69 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Procter & Gamble say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 32.49 | $0.959 | $31.17 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.89 | $0.773 | $30.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 126.08 | $0.240 | $30.26 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?No | buy | 70 | $0.203 | $14.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.3B?Yes | buy | 106.59 | $0.780 | $83.14 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?No | buy | 422.63 | $0.210 | $88.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | buy | 148.53 | $0.640 | $95.06 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No | buy | 156.21 | $0.550 | $85.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 83.76 | $0.640 | $53.61 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes | buy | 87.03 | $0.760 | $66.14 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.670 | $62.22 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?No | buy | 220.96 | $0.280 | $61.87 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes | buy | 120.62 | $0.523 | $63.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No | buy | 22.59 | $0.360 | $8.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 96.92 | $0.680 | $65.91 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 102.43 | $0.639 | $65.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?Yes | sell | 700.55 | $0.040 | $28.02 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.18 | $0.660 | $23.22 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 13?Yes | buy | 557.09 | $0.070 | $38.77 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 13?No | buy | 54.25 | $0.781 | $42.38 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 27.46 | $0.850 | $23.34 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 467.29 | $0.060 | $28.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.096 | $4.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Yes | sell | 157.02 | $0.069 | $10.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |