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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 29.56 | $0.670 | $25.57 | +$5.76 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?Up | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.23 |
| $0.860 |
| $8.75 |
| -$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.460 | $8.48 | +$1.58 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 14 | $0.490 | $7.77 | +$0.91 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.630 | $5.32 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.430 | $4.04 | +$0.6 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.15 | $0.400 | $4.03 | +$0.77 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.16 | -$0.34 |
| buy |
| 8.32 |
| $0.770 |
| $6.41 |
| 18d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.650 | $3.61 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.430 | $1.31 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.470 | $1.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.650 | $2.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.500 | $2.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 14.21 | $0.680 | $9.66 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 38 | $0.490 | $18.62 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.560 | $2.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.510 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.680 | $4.76 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.300 | $2.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 17.81 | $0.570 | $10.15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.400 | $6.54 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 39.78 | $0.500 | $19.89 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.250 | $1.62 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.260 | $7.02 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.630 | $4.96 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.410 | $13.53 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.515 | $4.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of July 13 2026?No | buy | 25.62 | $0.790 | $20.24 | Jul 13, 2026 |