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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 15.45K | $0.558 | $8.57K | -$42.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 361.28 | $0.135 | $48.87 | 23h ago |
| Yes |
| 4.62K |
| $0.397 |
| $4.32K |
| +$2.49K |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 4.93K | $0.518 | $4.01K | +$1.46K |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 7.22K | $0.567 | $3.83K | -$270.77 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.15K | $0.452 | $3.81K | +$1.48K |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5.06K | $0.612 | $3.44K | +$342.17 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4.53K | $0.472 | $2.85K | +$713.3 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.91K | $0.590 | $2.25K | +$536.66 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 2.62K | $0.343 | $2.16K | +$1.26K |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.59K | $0.435 | $1.77K | -$230.73 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 4.16K | $0.361 | $1.62K | +$121.74 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 1.68K | $0.594 | $1.26K | +$255.24 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.591 | $1.22K | -$79.25 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.440 | $670.45 | +$170.46 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 762.44 | $0.525 | $537.52 | +$137.52 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 592.32 | $0.422 | $313.93 | +$63.93 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 773.96 | $0.456 | $174.14 | -$178.67 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 998.55 | $0.350 | $144.79 | -$205.21 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.058 | $77.85 | -$22.15 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.243 | $66.84 | -$183.16 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 613.02 | $0.093 | $65.9 | +$8.9 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.300 | $63.33 | -$136.67 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 661.13 | $0.378 | $62.81 | -$187.19 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.082 | $54.93 | -$45.07 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 618.43 | $0.485 | $52.57 | -$247.43 |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 1.03K |
| $0.487 |
| $500 |
| 23h ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.310 | $0.62 | 10d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.73K | $0.422 | $2K | 12d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.37 | $0.680 | $17.25 | 12d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.16K | $0.361 | $1.5K | 12d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 504.81 | $0.495 | $250 | 12d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 624.31 | $0.400 | $250 | 15d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 402.56 | $0.373 | $150 | 15d ago |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 193.6 | $0.977 | $189.22 | 16d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 257.62 | $0.582 | $150 | 21d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.638 | $1K | 21d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 293.48 | $0.511 | $150 | 22d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 350.22 | $0.428 | $150 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 361.29 | $0.692 | $250 | 23d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 130.27 | $0.405 | $52.81 | 23d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 185.79 | $0.538 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 204.26 | $0.218 | $44.48 | 29d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 390.06 | $0.259 | $101.12 | 29d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 390.06 | $0.513 | $200 | 29d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.243 | $250 | 29d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 592.32 | $0.422 | $250 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 204.26 | $0.490 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 168.99 | $0.592 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 613.02 | $0.093 | $57 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 977.53 | $0.604 | $590.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 193.6 | $0.517 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | sell | 2.48K | $0.236 | $586.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | buy | 992.18 | $0.605 | $600 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 671.31 | $0.596 | $400 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 676.12 | $0.592 | $400 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.591 | $1.3K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.330 | $150 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.424 | $900 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | sell | 72.46 | $0.803 | $58.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 469.07 | $0.640 | $300 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 124.22 | $0.805 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 934.48 | $0.642 | $600 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 808.41 | $0.618 | $500 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06K | $0.620 | $5K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 915.64 | $0.540 | $494.39 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.81K | $0.527 | $2.01K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.624 | $1.34K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.616 | $1.66K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.650 | $150 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 423.5 | $0.590 | $250 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 969.09 | $0.619 | $600 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.403 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.584 | $650 | Jul 29, 2026 |