Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 22.42 | $0.002 | $0.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.8 |
| $0.016 |
| $0.06 |
| May 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 7.9 | $0.015 | $0.12 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.013 | $0.11 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.005 | $0.26 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.067 | $0.34 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.170 | $0.36 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.290 | $0.47 | May 27, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.050 | $0.45 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 2.77 | $0.220 | $0.61 | May 27, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.210 | $0.78 | May 27, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.104 | $0.79 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.360 | $0.8 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.470 | $0.84 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.310 | $0.88 | May 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.38 | $0.208 | $0.91 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.025 | $0.96 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.490 | $0.98 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.051 | $0.98 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.173 | $0.99 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.84 | $0.112 | $0.99 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.062 | $1.02 | May 27, 2026 |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays | sell | 2.56 | $0.370 | $0.95 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.011 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.190 | $1.05 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.018 | $1.06 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.018 | $1.06 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.120 | $1.09 | May 27, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.83 | $0.633 | $1.16 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.330 | $1.18 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.580 | $1.29 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 8.13 | $0.169 | $1.37 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.160 | $1.35 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes | sell | 21.71 | $0.086 | $1.87 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.590 | $2.03 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.216 | $2.38 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.790 | $2.25 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 18.25 | $0.143 | $2.61 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.200 | $2.63 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.54 | $0.300 | $2.86 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 36.14 | $0.082 | $2.96 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.230 | $2.99 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.03 | $0.320 | $3.21 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.380 | $3.42 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22.98 | $0.171 | $3.93 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 44.58 | $0.093 | $4.15 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.16 | $0.340 | $4.13 | May 27, 2026 |