Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.838 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.37 |
| $0.229 |
| $1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.130 | $1.18 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.100 | $1.07 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 183.82 | $0.007 | $1.29 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.433 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | sell | 13.24 | $0.019 | $0.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.330 | $6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?No | buy | 35.22 | $0.057 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)Yes | buy | 16.53 | $0.121 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes | buy | 13.25 | $0.151 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 60.86 | $0.049 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 128.75 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 105 | $0.029 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 177.96 | $0.028 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 70.1 | $0.029 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)Yes | buy | 26.24 | $0.076 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump say "King Charles" this week? (April 12)Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.158 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | sell | 53 | $0.036 | $1.91 | Apr 11, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13?No | buy | 63.19 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 28 | $0.036 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | sell | 42.32 | $0.990 | $41.9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 7.82 | $0.639 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Kharg Island" this week? (April 12)No | buy | 7.76 | $0.515 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 21.77 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.236 | $3 | Apr 8, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 142.5 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.076 | $2.07 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.440 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |