Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.140 | $176.64 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 203.03 |
| $0.870 |
| $176.64 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 203.03 | $0.910 | $184.76 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 189.83 | $0.973 | $184.76 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 189.84 | $0.850 | $161.36 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 166.7 | $0.968 | $161.37 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 166.71 | $0.790 | $131.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 138.63 | $0.950 | $131.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 138.63 | $0.760 | $105.36 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 284.76 | $0.370 | $105.36 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 284.77 | $0.520 | $148.08 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 462.73 | $0.320 | $148.07 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 462.73 | $0.410 | $189.72 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 702.67 | $0.270 | $189.72 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 702.67 | $0.730 | $512.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 582.9 | $0.880 | $512.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 582.91 | $0.860 | $501.3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.498 | $501.21 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.575 | $579 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | sell | 714.92 | $0.810 | $579.09 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 714.92 | $0.894 | $639.35 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 128.97 | $0.547 | $70.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 11.85 | $0.540 | $6.4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 213.23 | $0.469 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 215.08 | $0.465 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 216.16 | $0.463 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 239.23 | $0.418 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 227.91 | $0.439 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 228.05 | $0.438 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 227.79 | $0.439 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 309.6 | $0.323 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 330.03 | $0.303 | $100 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 248.06 | $0.350 | $86.82 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | sell | 37.4 | $0.982 | $36.73 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 37.4 | $0.950 | $35.53 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 18?No | sell | 381.41 | $0.021 | $7.91 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 18?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 18?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.039 | $0.2 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 18?No | buy | 413.24 | $0.906 | $374.36 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or higher on March 20?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 17?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.984 | $5.07 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 62°F or higher on March 17?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 17?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 17?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 18?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on March 17?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 18?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Mar 16, 2025 |