Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 409.48 | $0.041 | $15.77 | -$0.9 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 126.34 | $0.041 | $5.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 199.56 |
| $0.098 |
| $12.97 |
| -$6.59 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 172.29 | $0.088 | $11.2 | -$3.9 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 38.24 | $0.170 | $3.25 | -$3.25 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 56.71 | $0.070 | $3.06 | -$0.94 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.102 | $2.83 | -$1.59 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 16.59 | $0.270 | $2.74 | -$1.74 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $2.68 | -$2.32 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | Yes | 46.91 | $0.110 | $2.58 | -$2.58 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.4 | $0.099 | $2.46 | -$1.54 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $2.32 | -$2.68 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes | 58.5 | $0.050 | $2.08 | -$0.85 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.100 | $2 | -$2 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.120 | $2 | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 34.42 | $0.116 | $1.93 | -$2.07 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | Yes | 37.27 | $0.107 | $1.92 | -$2.08 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $1.92 | -$3.08 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Yes | 36.36 | $0.110 | $1.89 | -$2.11 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.170 | $1.88 | -$2.12 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Yes | 34.85 | $0.115 | $1.88 | -$2.12 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 57.14 | $0.070 | $1.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 32.56 | $0.153 | $1.79 | -$3.21 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 27.06 | $0.170 | $1.76 | -$2.84 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.68 | $0.340 | $1.71 | -$2.6 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.100 | $1.63 | -$0.88 |
| sell |
| 17.85 |
| $0.300 |
| $5.36 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 133.85 | $0.039 | $5.22 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.05 | $0.333 | $5.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 149.29 | $0.042 | $6.27 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.094 | $2.36 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?Yes | sell | 67.79 | $0.032 | $2.17 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 212.85 | $0.009 | $1.92 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 67.18 | $0.068 | $4.59 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.57 | $0.222 | $2.12 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 30.12 | $0.085 | $2.56 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 113.22 | $0.090 | $10.19 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 António Guterres out by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.42 | $0.260 | $2.97 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 22.45 | $0.160 | $3.59 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.230 | $3.97 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 105.1 | $0.100 | $10.51 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.838 | $10.48 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 86.34 | $0.109 | $9.37 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 13.84 | $0.760 | $10.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | sell | 10.58 | $0.999 | $10.57 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.680 | $7.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | sell | 7.28 | $0.999 | $7.27 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 7.28 | $0.670 | $4.88 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.270 | $4.91 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 6.7 | $0.790 | $5.29 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.120 | $5.33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 4.49 | $0.790 | $3.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.100 | $3.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 3.88 | $0.800 | $3.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.550 | $3.17 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria | buy | 7.06 | $0.800 | $5.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.470 | $5.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 554.15 | $0.094 | $52.09 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 47.08 | $0.096 | $4.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.3 | $0.140 | $4.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 53.75 | $0.096 | $5.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.260 | $5.42 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.096 | $6.76 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.140 | $2.46 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes | sell | 8.96 | $0.500 | $4.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 348.09 | $0.094 | $32.72 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38.55 | $0.141 | $5.43 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20.66 | $0.265 | $5.48 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 36.8 | $0.160 | $5.89 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.200 | $5.88 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Yes | sell | 47.21 | $0.137 | $6.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 688.62 | $0.094 | $64.73 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes | sell | 75.67 | $0.128 | $9.7 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 183.28 | $0.100 | $18.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |