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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 25K | $0.500 | $18.99K | +$6.49K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 117.93 | $0.810 | $95.52 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 7K |
| $0.780 |
| $6.06K |
| +$595 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 25K | $0.500 | $6.01K | -$6.49K |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5K | $0.880 | $4.63K | +$225 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 4.08K | $0.846 | $3.96K | +$499.92 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.21K | $0.326 | $3.75K | +$1.07K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.9K | $0.653 | $2.74K | -$1.11K |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 2K | $0.990 | $1.99K | +$6 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.75K | $0.652 | $1.28K | -$514.47 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2.96K | $0.385 | $1.04K | -$100.77 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.686 | $904.95 | +$48.96 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 800 | $0.967 | $784.4 | +$10.8 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.570 | $632.1 | -$53.64 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 699.77 | $0.446 | $563.31 | +$251.3 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 552 | $0.858 | $513.08 | +$39.72 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.64K | $0.190 | $462 | -$39.6 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.920 | $374 | +$6 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 558 | $0.455 | $284.58 | +$30.82 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 849.96 | $0.320 | $250.74 | -$21.25 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 238 | $0.580 | $230.27 | +$92.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 272 | $0.856 | $222.77 | -$10.06 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 318 | $0.640 | $208.29 | +$4.77 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.950 | $187 | -$3 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 346 | $0.650 | $185.11 | -$39.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.210 | $184.8 | -$50.4 |
| buy |
| 54 |
| $0.560 |
| $30.24 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.393 | $66.81 | 8d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 316.29 | $0.620 | $196.1 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 186.47 | $0.630 | $117.48 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 217.33 | $0.668 | $145.27 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 165.98 | $0.698 | $115.79 | 9d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.650 | $46.15 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.680 | $748 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.650 | $845 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.910 | $682.5 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 577 | $0.830 | $478.91 | 13d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.734 | $1.46 | 14d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 279 | $0.862 | $240.5 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.680 | $680 | 16d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 17d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 183 | $0.958 | $175.31 | 18d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 305.01 | $0.329 | $100.35 | 19d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | sell | 749.99 | $0.940 | $704.99 | 19d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 19d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.710 | $248.5 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.710 | $751.89 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 183 | $0.710 | $129.93 | 20d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 313 | $0.853 | $266.99 | 20d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 433.22 | $0.920 | $398.56 | 21d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.570 | $712.5 | 21d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | 21d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 46.17 | $0.650 | $30.01 | 21d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.800 | $56 | 21d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | 21d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.57 | $0.660 | $23.48 | 21d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | buy | 332 | $0.480 | $159.36 | 21d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 277 | $0.650 | $180.05 | 21d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 821.24 | $0.313 | $257.05 | 22d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.312 | $218.4 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.640 | $320 | 22d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 22d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 183 | $0.920 | $168.36 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 256 | $0.580 | $148.48 | 22d ago |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.991 | $495.5 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.65K | $0.740 | $1.22K | 25d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 274 | $0.520 | $142.48 | 26d ago |
 Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 45.31 | $0.350 | $15.86 | 26d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.530 | $2.98 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.41K | $0.530 | $1.27K | 27d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | 28d ago |