Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 4 | $0.821 | $3.5 | +$0.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.11 |
| $0.495 |
| $2.94 |
| +$1.4 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.421 | $0.59 | -$0.15 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.810 |
| $4.05 |
| 21d ago |
| Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | 21d ago |
 Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | sell | 50 | $0.594 | $29.7 | 21d ago |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.02 | $0.700 | $27.31 | 22d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 22d ago |
 Linera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 22d ago |
 Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.810 | $5.67 | 22d ago |
 Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 22d ago |
| Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 22d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 22d ago |
 Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 22d ago |
| Linera listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.374 | $7.49 | 22d ago |
 Will Falcons Make the Playoffs at BLAST Open Porto 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 22d ago |
 Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 22d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.324 | $6.48 | 22d ago |
| Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 22d ago |
| Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 22d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 23d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 23d ago |
 GitHub Git Operations critical incident by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 23d ago |
| Linera listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Slovan Bratislava qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 23d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 23d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 23d ago |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 23d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 23d ago |
 Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 23d ago |
 Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | sell | 18.9 | $0.380 | $7.18 | 23d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 23d ago |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 23d ago |
| Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 23d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.120 | $0.6 | 23d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 23d ago |
| Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?No | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.18 | $0.410 | $4.17 | 23d ago |