Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.54 | -$0.46 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.120 | $1.12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.034 |
| $1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.28 | $0.030 | $0.88 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.165 | $2.15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.037 | $1.12 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?No | buy | 95.26 | $0.009 | $0.86 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.27 | $0.592 | $18.51 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.27 | $0.670 | $20.95 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.84 | $0.430 | $8.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.39 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |