Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 107.01 | $0.280 | $40.08 | +$10.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?Yes | buy | 459.09 | $0.022 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 235.29 |
| $0.170 |
| $31.76 |
| -$8.24 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 375 | $0.080 | $24.38 | -$5.63 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 272.73 | $0.110 | $20.45 | -$9.55 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 625 | $0.016 | $5.63 | -$4.37 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 176.47 | $0.170 | $4.32 | -$25.68 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 488.62 | $0.020 | $3.42 | -$6.58 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 522.3 | $0.019 | $2.35 | -$7.65 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 395.02 | $0.025 | $0.59 | -$9.41 |
| buy |
| 227.27 |
| $0.044 |
| $10 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?Yes | buy | 528.13 | $0.019 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?Yes | buy | 365.24 | $0.027 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?Yes | buy | 658.14 | $0.015 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.008 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Yes | buy | 751.11 | $0.013 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 467.53 | $0.021 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes | buy | 347.26 | $0.058 | $20 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 995.2 | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?Yes | buy | 419.09 | $0.024 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.250 | $35 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 385.82 | $0.026 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 284.38 | $0.035 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.005 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 471.88 | $0.042 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.080 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.016 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 522.3 | $0.019 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 488.62 | $0.020 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 395.02 | $0.025 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.029 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 14?Yes | buy | 541.75 | $0.018 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 107.01 | $0.280 | $30 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 507.21 | $0.039 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.974 | $4.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes | sell | 51.71 | $0.200 | $10.34 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?Yes | sell | 37.79 | $0.250 | $9.45 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.67 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 7.33 | $0.690 | $5.06 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | sell | 18.58 | $0.496 | $9.22 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.012 | $46.05 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 938.6 | $0.011 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.011 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.026 | $46.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?Yes | buy | 2.71K | $0.017 | $46.07 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Yes | buy | 92.09 | $0.011 | $1.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |