Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.911 | $46.95 | +$1.4 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.973 |
| $29.78 |
| +$0.59 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.940 | $24.44 | +$0.94 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | No | 22 | $0.988 | $21.76 | +$0.02 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.799 | $18.6 | +$2.62 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.860 | $14.16 | +$1.26 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 22 | $0.820 | $11.33 | -$6.71 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.02 | $0.940 | $5.54 | -$19.86 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 25 | $0.948 | $4.09 | -$19.61 |
 Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 297.77 | $0.005 | $0.89 | -$0.6 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.320 | $0.03 | -$1.57 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.998 |
| $29.94 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.994 | $37.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Another Canada election called by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.997 | $21.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.85 | $0.130 | $5.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.960 | $12.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 19.21 | $0.980 | $18.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | sell | 34 | $0.999 | $33.97 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | sell | 499.98 | $0.001 | $0.5 | May 23, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)Luis Felipe Dias | buy | 18.36 | $0.610 | $11.2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | buy | 34 | $0.940 | $31.96 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 25.98 | $0.990 | $25.72 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.08 | $0.957 | $16.35 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.988 | $21.74 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.053 | $1.1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | buy | 22.21 | $0.890 | $19.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.02 | $0.940 | $25.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token on March 25?No | buy | 51.7 | $0.988 | $51.08 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 503.38 | $0.030 | $15.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?No | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?No | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on March 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.997 | $17.95 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.956 | $21.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.973 | $29.19 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 22 | $0.820 | $18.04 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.799 | $15.98 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.948 | $23.7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 495 | $0.430 | $212.85 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 414.66 | $0.003 | $1.24 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US civil war in 2025?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.996 | $12.95 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.993 | $39.72 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.64 | $0.600 | $9.98 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 581.35 | $0.002 | $1.16 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 19.32 | $0.994 | $19.2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.980 | $21.56 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?No | buy | 38.16 | $0.999 | $38.12 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.33 | $0.110 | $2.13 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.770 | $10.74 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?No | buy | 39 | $0.960 | $37.44 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?No | buy | 34.06 | $0.969 | $33 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?No | buy | 25.69 | $0.973 | $25 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 50.91 | $0.982 | $50 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.827 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 40.58 | $0.986 | $40 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |