Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 152.46 |
| $0.656 |
| $100 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?No | buy | 140.89 | $0.710 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 136.04 | $0.735 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.894 | $936.25 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 152.54 | $0.590 | $90 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.263 | $10 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 98.36 | $0.610 | $60 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.930 | $300 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?No | buy | 108.45 | $0.738 | $80 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | sell | 103.28 | $0.977 | $100.89 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | sell | 100.19 | $0.017 | $1.65 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | sell | 88.23 | $0.790 | $69.7 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 103.29 | $0.775 | $80 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?Yes | buy | 99.26 | $0.655 | $65 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 148.76 | $0.168 | $25 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 243.31 | $0.411 | $100 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 100.19 | $0.299 | $30 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?Yes | sell | 120.47 | $0.200 | $24.09 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | sell | 65.17 | $0.030 | $1.96 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 156.25 | $0.962 | $150.3 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| US strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | buy | 65.18 | $0.307 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.840 | $34.44 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 184.09 | $0.109 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 120.47 | $0.166 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes | buy | 25.53 | $0.470 | $12 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 88.24 | $0.680 | $60 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 89.77 | $0.557 | $50 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.600 | $150 | Jun 20, 2025 |