Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.485 | $45 | -$52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 160 |
| $0.989 |
| $158.24 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No | sell | 152 | $0.993 | $150.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.973 | $5.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No | buy | 145 | $0.995 | $144.28 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.965 | $11.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 156 | $0.995 | $155.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 155 | $0.980 | $151.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.015 | $2.15 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.015 | $2.15 | May 27, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No | buy | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.984 | $5.9 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?No | buy | 25 | $0.987 | $24.67 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?No | buy | 87.7 | $0.999 | $87.61 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?Yes | sell | 19.9 | $0.950 | $18.9 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?No | sell | 50 | $0.921 | $46.03 | May 12, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 186 | $0.992 | $184.51 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 172.59 | $0.985 | $170 | May 2, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 150 | $0.970 | $145.55 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.944 | $71.74 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No | sell | 62.4 | $0.977 | $60.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.980 | $5.78 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 179 | $0.996 | $178.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | sell | 178.99 | $0.968 | $173.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | sell | 180 | $0.969 | $174.42 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.997 | $22.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.995 | $6.57 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 29.89 | $0.996 | $29.77 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No | buy | 13.5 | $0.999 | $13.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.999 | $5.54 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.998 | $11.18 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.05 by March 31?No | buy | 46.6 | $0.996 | $46.41 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.95 | $0.998 | $9.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 8.57 | $0.993 | $8.51 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 115 | $0.999 | $114.89 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 52.57 | $0.998 | $52.46 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No | buy | 6 | $0.996 | $5.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No | buy | 15 | $0.995 | $14.93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "250" or "250th" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Melania say "Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.999 | $15.6 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.988 | $6.82 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 43.43 | $0.999 | $43.39 | Mar 21, 2026 |