Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 57.14 | $0.350 | $4.29 | -$15.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5.51 |
| $0.363 |
| $2.82 |
| +$0.82 |
| buy |
| 5.51 |
| $0.363 |
| $2 |
| May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.373 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.72 | $0.344 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.808 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.870 | $19.77 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | May 5, 2025 |
 Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?No | buy | 15.34 | $0.652 | $10 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 17.44 | $0.172 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?No | buy | 103.18 | $0.220 | $22.7 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.072 | $5 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.256 | $313.92 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 283.37 | $0.362 | $102.58 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 177.78 | $0.450 | $80 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 108.93 | $0.459 | $50 | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 327.51 | $0.458 | $150 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | sell | 49.03 | $0.680 | $33.34 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 127 | $0.170 | $21.59 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Faithless elector in US election?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.350 | $2.76 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 166.33 | $0.469 | $78.01 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.280 | $14 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | sell | 17.85 | $0.620 | $11.07 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.890 | $16.02 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.733 | $29.32 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 162.31 | $0.484 | $78.56 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 159.03 | $0.494 | $78.56 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 76.22 | $0.463 | $35.29 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 82.82 | $0.483 | $40 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 105.93 | $0.493 | $52.22 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Sep 10, 2024 |