Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | 29d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.19 |
| $0.981 |
| $10.06 |
| +$0.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | No | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10.02 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 110.11 |
| $0.999 |
| $110 |
| 29d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | 29d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 48.24 | $0.995 | $48 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 40.36 | $0.991 | $40 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 50.2 | $0.996 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?No | buy | 28.31 | $0.997 | $28.23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.56 | $0.997 | $27.48 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 227.48 | $0.996 | $226.57 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 70.16 | $0.988 | $69.31 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 86.05 | $0.988 | $85 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 70.35 | $0.995 | $70 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 291.23 | $0.596 | $173.57 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 291.23 | $0.597 | $173.86 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 325.28 | $0.596 | $193.87 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 325.28 | $0.597 | $194.19 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Base airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 84.01 | $0.999 | $83.93 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| Base airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Linea airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Berachain airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Zircuit airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Sep 28, 2024 |