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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.81 | $0.027 | $1.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 201.85 |
| $0.027 |
| $5.45 |
| Sep 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | sell | 20 | $0.738 | $14.76 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.400 | $7.69 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 199.54 | $0.065 | $12.97 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.090 | $1.5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 93.88 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.130 | $2.5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?Yes | sell | 62.03 | $0.006 | $0.37 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.199 | $1.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.160 | $3.36 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.690 | $4.86 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.150 | $5.36 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.070 | $3.89 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.006 | $6.13 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 11?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.250 | $4.31 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 90.74 | $0.232 | $21.08 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.74 | $0.270 | $24.5 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.260 | $29.9 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.260 | $29.9 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| U.S. recession before May 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.280 | $0.87 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.270 | $1.38 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Billion" 10+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.300 | $1.54 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | sell | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tariff event on April 2?No | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.046 | $3.09 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.060 | $4 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during tariff event on April 2?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Mar 31, 2025 |