Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.540 | $47.75 | +$20.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.457 | $4.57 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.324 |
| $25.28 |
| -$23.33 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50 | $0.639 | $24.88 | -$7.08 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.770 | $23.38 | +$4.13 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.820 | $9.45 | +$1.25 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.540 | $9.25 | +$3.85 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.545 | $8.65 | +$3.2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.540 | $7.75 | +$2.35 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 95 | $0.418 | $4.99 | -$34.72 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 4.99 | $0.700 | $4.97 | +$1.47 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.457 | $4.64 | +$0.07 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.620 | $4.63 | +$1.53 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.230 | $4.58 | +$3.43 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.630 | $4.53 | +$1.38 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.614 | $3.81 | -$11.54 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.430 | $3.33 | +$1.18 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5 | $0.373 | $2.8 | +$0.93 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.540 | $2.63 | -$0.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.188 | $2.44 | +$0.56 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.390 | $2.28 | +$0.33 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.410 | $2.03 | -$0.03 |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.330 | $1.78 | +$0.13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.600 | $1.33 | -$1.68 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 15 | $0.303 | $0.98 | -$3.57 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.148 | $0.94 | -$0.55 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.65 |
| 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 18d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.373 | $1.87 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.418 | $39.71 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 50 | $0.639 | $31.95 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.361 | $5.42 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.362 | $1.81 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.148 | $1.48 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.188 | $1.88 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Feb 6, 2026 |