Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | sell | 1.75 | $0.990 | $1.73 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.73 | $0.560 | $0.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.820 | $2.34 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.47 | $0.450 | $25.86 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.160 | $9.52 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.022 | $1.01 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.630 | $1.34 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 16.18 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.21 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.890 | $5.93 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.81 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.330 | $3.67 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.309 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.760 | $9.99 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No | sell | 159.19 | $0.753 | $119.89 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-20?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.011 | $0.02 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 12-18?Yes | sell | 40.98 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 12-18?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.119 | $2.39 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.999 | $1.63 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.999 | $1.29 | Jan 17, 2026 |