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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.383 | $639.85 | +$105.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.781 | $234.45 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.690 |
| $367.5 |
| +$22.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.490 | $272.5 | +$27.5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.781 | $246 | +$11.55 |
| buy |
| 295.52 |
| $0.335 |
| $99 |
| 18d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.333 | $66.62 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.16 | $0.890 | $12.6 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 185.17 | $0.486 | $90 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 101.12 | $0.890 | $90 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 26.34 | $0.820 | $21.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 138.46 | $0.491 | $67.97 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 138.46 | $0.650 | $90 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.71 | $0.420 | $10.8 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.09 | $0.550 | $17.1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 122.68 | $0.807 | $99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 247.37 | $0.400 | $99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 149.17 | $0.664 | $99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.850 | $83.3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | buy | 101.02 | $0.980 | $99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.353 | $34.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 197.9 | $0.500 | $99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.408 | $39.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 168.79 | $0.587 | $99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 22.95 | $0.998 | $22.9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.740 | $72.52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 120.96 | $0.818 | $99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.630 | $59.22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.990 | $94.05 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.431 | $42.24 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 105.75 | $0.936 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.356 | $34.87 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 105.29 | $0.940 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.460 | $45.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.371 | $36.35 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.187 | $18.33 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 137.58 | $0.720 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 110.07 | $0.899 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.346 | $33.92 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 100.54 | $0.985 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 124.09 | $0.798 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 101.34 | $0.977 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.624 | $61.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.145 | $14.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 182.05 | $0.544 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 157.51 | $0.629 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.873 | $85.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 103.41 | $0.957 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 103.56 | $0.956 | $99 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.125 | $12.29 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Yes | buy | 229.55 | $0.431 | $99 | Feb 9, 2026 |