Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 118K | $0.500 | $89.62K | +$30.62K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15.45K | $0.500 | $7.73K | 11d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 55.93K |
| $0.809 |
| $48.94K |
| +$3.68K |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 51.81K | $0.830 | $44.81K | +$1.8K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 118K | $0.500 | $28.38K | -$30.62K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 33.77K | $0.597 | $24.82K | +$4.66K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 21.45K | $0.783 | $18.2K | +$1.4K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 21.24K | $0.706 | $18.16K | +$3.16K |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 15.3K | $0.852 | $13.54K | +$504.58 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 14.04K | $0.890 | $13.13K | +$632.02 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 12.96K | $0.964 | $12.82K | +$315.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 11.9K | $0.420 | $6.01K | +$1.01K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 12.5K | $0.400 | $4.44K | -$562.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 2.98K | $0.840 | $2.57K | +$74.4 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3K | $0.797 | $2.36K | -$35 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.920 | $1.52K | +$16.3 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 5.8K | $0.596 | $1.39K | -$2.07K |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 764.32 | $0.940 | $746.36 | +$27.9 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE? | No | 500 | $0.974 | $485 | -$2 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 470.18 | $0.420 | $458.66 | +$261.18 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? | No | 344.56 | $0.976 | $339.05 | +$2.76 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.176 | $187.5 | -$252.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.008 | $0.19 | +$0.18 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.008 | $0.16 | +$0.15 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.500 | $0.14 | -$0.36 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1 | $0.008 | $0.08 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 14.1K |
| $0.530 |
| $7.47K |
| 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.570 | $1.08K | 11d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 2.62K | $0.215 | $564.75 | 19d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 2.52K | $0.621 | $1.57K | 19d ago |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No | sell | 303.77 | $0.873 | $265.18 | 20d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 4.92K | $0.810 | $3.99K | 20d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 3.67K | $0.820 | $3.01K | 20d ago |
 Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 334 | $0.153 | $50.95 | 27d ago |
| Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.281 | $46.68 | 27d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 1.65K | $0.832 | $1.38K | 27d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.860 | $2.51K | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.5K | $0.460 | $2.53K | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.569 | $1.42K | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.350 | $700.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.09K | $0.650 | $9.81K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 525 | $0.965 | $506.63 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 11.33K | $0.832 | $9.43K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25.08K | $0.997 | $25K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.989 | $1.53K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 7.17K | $0.760 | $5.45K | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 37.19K | $0.780 | $29.01K | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.810 | $1.77K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5.81K | $0.870 | $5.06K | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 8.78K | $0.905 | $7.95K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 5.31K | $0.505 | $2.68K | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 17.12K | $0.999 | $17.1K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 17.12K | $0.999 | $17.1K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 5.95K | $0.999 | $5.94K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.11 | $0.972 | $39.96 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.820 | $6.83K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.99K | $0.890 | $1.77K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 6.93K | $0.841 | $5.83K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 10K | $0.841 | $8.41K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.08K | $0.900 | $9.07K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 6K | $0.887 | $5.32K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 13.25K | $0.700 | $9.27K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 10.03K | $0.997 | $10K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 5.55K | $0.997 | $5.53K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 16.54K | $0.997 | $16.5K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 6.72K | $0.997 | $6.7K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.83K | $0.971 | $2.75K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.46K | $0.918 | $3.18K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 28.81K | $0.997 | $28.72K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.72K | $0.840 | $7.33K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.18K | $0.848 | $6.09K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.78K | $0.999 | $6.77K | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.851 | $945.25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.47K | $0.150 | $220.78 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 215 | $0.960 | $206.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |