Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 4.3 | $0.760 | $3.42 | +$0.15 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.630 | $2.67 | 8h ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.02 |
| $0.560 |
| $2.89 |
| +$0.08 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 4.24 | $0.630 | $2.69 | +$0.02 |
 Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.78 | $0.830 | $2.41 | +$0.1 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1.61 | $0.760 | $1.22 | $0 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.94 | -$1.06 |
| sell |
| 4.46 |
| $0.570 |
| $2.54 |
| 9h ago |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.830 | $2.31 | 2d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.780 | $1.74 | 2d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.370 | $0.71 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.760 | $3.27 | 4d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.570 | $1.09 | 4d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.28 | $0.470 | $1.07 | 4d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 4.42 | $0.490 | $2.17 | 4d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.794 | $1.18 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.760 | $1.22 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.670 | $1.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.640 | $1.2 | 7d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.590 | $2.61 | 7d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.510 | $1.14 | 8d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.640 | $2.86 | 8d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.43 | $0.837 | $3.71 | 8d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.820 | $1.74 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.580 | $2.41 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.807 | $1.2 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.815 | $1.73 | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.530 | $1.59 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.610 | $1.83 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.04 | $0.812 | $3.28 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.823 | $3.33 | 10d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 2.25 | $0.500 | $1.13 | 10d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.500 | $1.13 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 4.42 | $0.770 | $3.4 | 10d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.600 | $2.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.21 | $0.780 | $2.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.820 | $2.64 | 11d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 2.49 | $0.720 | $1.79 | 11d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.460 | $1.05 | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.740 | $1.28 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 4.43 | $0.770 | $3.41 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.757 | $3.2 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.822 | $3.48 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.750 | $3.22 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.832 | $3.58 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.33 | $0.810 | $3.51 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.833 | $3.61 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.71 | $0.750 | $3.53 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.774 | $3.65 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.64 | $0.754 | $3.5 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.798 | $3.71 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.71 | $0.770 | $3.63 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.798 | $3.76 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.430 | $1.08 | 12d ago |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.560 | $2.81 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.550 | $1.37 | 12d ago |