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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel strikes Iran before August?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 2.56 |
| $0.780 |
| $2 |
| Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.220 | $2.24 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.490 | $4.08 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Trump approval >45% on July 1?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.130 | $1.63 | Jun 21, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.400 | $5.06 | Jun 21, 2025 |
US military action against Iran by Thursday?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.689 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Trump blames Biden for Iran-Israel escalation by Friday?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |