Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 21.41 | $0.967 | $20.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 20.7 |
| $0.984 |
| $20.37 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 21.37 | $0.998 | $21.33 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.701 | $14.02 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 27.31 | $0.704 | $19.23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?Yes | sell | 28.22 | $0.687 | $19.39 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?Yes | buy | 28.23 | $0.658 | $18.58 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.678 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?No | sell | 67.12 | $0.080 | $5.37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?No | sell | 8.32 | $0.020 | $0.17 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?No | sell | 56.22 | $0.050 | $2.81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?No | sell | 75 | $0.030 | $2.25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?No | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?No | buy | 30 | $0.049 | $1.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?No | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.070 | $0.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 2?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.100 | $0.21 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.130 | $0.41 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | sell | 18.92 | $0.997 | $18.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 15.61 | $0.970 | $15.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 23.91 | $0.610 | $14.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.140 | $0.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.008 | $0.56 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.200 | $0.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 18.93 | $0.998 | $18.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 59.88 | $0.974 | $58.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.84 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.07 | $0.300 | $16.82 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.89 | $0.036 | $1.76 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.880 | $1.76 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 42.65 | $0.890 | $37.96 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.928 | $7.42 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 86.7 | $0.250 | $21.68 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.04 | $0.560 | $12.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.74 | $0.540 | $11.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.52 | $0.560 | $21.01 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.15 | $0.520 | $11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.04 | $0.530 | $14.86 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.938 | $14.07 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.978 | $35.21 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.738 | $14.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |