Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 108.78 | $0.919 | $98.07 | -$1.93 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
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| No |
| 61.7 |
| $0.874 |
| $60.65 |
| +$6.74 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 60.24 | $0.830 | $56.78 | +$6.78 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 54.05 | $0.740 | $52.03 | +$12.03 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.6 | $0.411 | $44.96 | +$24.95 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 42.57 | $0.846 | $42.12 | +$6.12 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.810 | $36.89 | +$6.89 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 34.67 | $0.865 | $33.85 | +$3.85 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 34.48 | $0.290 | $31.21 | +$21.21 |
China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 22.08 | $0.951 | $21.3 | +$0.3 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 21.91 | $0.913 | $21.07 | +$1.07 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 18.52 | $0.540 | $16.94 | +$6.94 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 25.19 | $0.397 | $15.65 | +$5.65 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | $0.500 | $14.6 | -$5.4 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 14.53 | $0.344 | $13.54 | +$8.54 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 33.21 | $0.903 | $13.12 | -$16.88 |
US recession by end of 2026? | No | 13.16 | $0.760 | $12.17 | +$2.17 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 12.63 | $0.792 | $11.87 | +$1.87 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 12.11 | $0.668 | $11.08 | +$2.99 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.87 | +$0.87 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.75 | +$0.75 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.880 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.880 | $9.83 | -$0.17 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.680 | $9.04 | -$0.96 |
| sell |
| 10.98 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.88 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 25.19 | $0.397 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 108.78 | $0.919 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.074 | $1.42 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.34 | $0.066 | $0.48 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.072 | $0.51 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.582 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.91 | $0.386 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | buy | 13.73 | $0.357 | $4.9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.575 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 8.37 | $0.597 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.62 | $0.656 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.23 | $0.608 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.128 | $2.64 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.140 | $12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.100 | $13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.090 | $8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.100 | $9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.140 | $13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland | buy | 7.49 | $0.667 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.822 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 11.82 | $0.846 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.485 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 32.46 | $0.113 | $3.67 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |