Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.820 | $0.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.910 | $1.05 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.23 |
| $0.810 |
| $0.27 |
| -$0.73 |
| buy |
| 1.05 |
| $0.989 |
| $1.04 |
| Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.950 | $1.03 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.960 | $1.28 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in February?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.980 | $1.83 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.5 on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say “Rocket Man” by February 28?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.912 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to MrBeast in February?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |