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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 532.81 | $0.452 | $240.83 | Nov 3, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 283.32 |
| $0.850 |
| $240.82 |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 89.31 | $0.363 | $32.42 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all?No | sell | 32.98 | $0.983 | $32.42 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "black" during her Nevada speech?Yes | buy | 284.52 | $0.210 | $59.75 | Sep 27, 2024 |
Will Trump visit Springfield in September?No | sell | 60.97 | $0.980 | $59.75 | Sep 27, 2024 |
Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all?No | buy | 32.99 | $0.830 | $27.38 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during her Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 27.38 | $0.890 | $24.37 | Sep 17, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.390 | $24.38 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 283.32 | $0.850 | $240.82 | Sep 15, 2024 |
Will Trump visit Springfield in September?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Sep 15, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?No | sell | 92 | $0.600 | $55.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?No | buy | 92 | $0.543 | $50 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Nevada rally?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.660 | $26.38 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "tampon" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 25.06 | $0.798 | $20 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion ban" during her Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 225.05 | $0.916 | $206.08 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "dog" during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 144.71 | $0.138 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "moderator" during his Nevada rally?Yes | buy | 94.18 | $0.212 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?Yes | buy | 512.62 | $0.522 | $267.67 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Who will raise more in August?Harris | sell | 269.83 | $0.992 | $267.67 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "unrealized" during her North Carolina rally?No | buy | 266.08 | $0.923 | $245.58 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | sell | 152.69 | $0.970 | $148.11 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | buy | 12.16 | $0.950 | $11.55 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?Yes | sell | 144.33 | $0.080 | $11.55 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Yes | buy | 97.47 | $0.510 | $49.71 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?Yes | buy | 144.33 | $0.339 | $49 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?No | sell | 128.2 | $0.770 | $98.71 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Who will raise more in August?Harris | buy | 269.84 | $0.992 | $267.68 | Sep 6, 2024 |
Who will win the debate according to polls?Kamala | buy | 140.54 | $0.712 | $100 | Sep 5, 2024 |
Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Sep 5, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 230.26 | $0.510 | $117.43 | Sep 5, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.496 | $52.05 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.465 | $93 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at Wisconsin rally?Yes | sell | 204.08 | $0.548 | $111.89 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 425 | $0.445 | $189.15 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.415 | $4.15 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | buy | 266.64 | $0.304 | $81.03 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?Yes | sell | 279.43 | $0.290 | $81.03 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | buy | 558.67 | $0.300 | $167.6 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 58.36 | $0.390 | $22.76 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 321.86 | $0.450 | $144.84 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?Yes | buy | 144.95 | $0.300 | $43.42 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.330 | $43.42 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Maine's 2nd congressional district?Yes | buy | 279.43 | $0.300 | $83.83 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3+ times at his Arizona speech?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Yes | sell | 94.68 | $0.991 | $93.83 | Aug 23, 2024 |