Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $1.75 | -$3.25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.12 | $0.470 | $1.94 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.28 |
| $0.780 |
| $1.23 |
| +$0.23 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.004 |
| $4 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 2.97 | $0.329 | $0.98 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 6.66 | $0.149 | $0.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.139 | $0.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 38.32 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 8.45 | $0.459 | $3.88 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 15.29 | $0.130 | $1.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 2.62 | $0.750 | $1.96 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp | buy | 4.86 | $0.400 | $1.94 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 7.86 | $0.250 | $1.96 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.73 | $0.340 | $1.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown | buy | 8.29 | $0.120 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.74 | $0.410 | $1.94 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.66 | $0.149 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 22.48 | $0.044 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp | buy | 5.2 | $0.190 | $0.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 8.29 | $0.120 | $0.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 24.75 | $0.170 | $4.21 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.57 | $0.620 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.69 | $0.026 | $2.02 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.007 | $20 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 420.96 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.35 | $0.768 | $38.67 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.86 | $0.771 | $21.48 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?No | buy | 37.41 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |