Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.012 | $0.17 | 4d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 7.14 |
| $0.043 |
| $0.31 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.050 | $0.36 | 4d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.060 | $0.5 | 4d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.040 | $0.5 | 4d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.010 | $0.71 | 4d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | sell | 25 | $0.051 | $1.28 | 4d ago |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.81 | $0.110 | $1.41 | 4d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.58 | $0.050 | $1.43 | 4d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.037 | $1.54 | 4d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | 4d ago |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.739 | $2.33 | 4d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.680 | $5.76 | 4d ago |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 61.15 | $0.048 | $2.91 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.710 | $1.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 7.72 | $0.310 | $2.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.077 | $2.75 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.105 | $3.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.056 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 57.26 | $0.043 | $2.43 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.72 | $0.259 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.740 | $2.14 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 63.21 | $0.041 | $2.57 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.633 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 63.22 | $0.032 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.26 | $0.035 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 61.16 | $0.033 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.81 | $0.156 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.033 | $1.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.190 | $1.12 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 30.01 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.999 | $3.22 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.74 | $0.276 | $1.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.230 | $1.77 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | sell | 4.12 | $0.315 | $1.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.12 | $0.242 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |