Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.83 | $0.393 | $2.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.63 |
| $0.395 |
| $1.04 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 4.02 | $0.640 | $2.57 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.670 | $2.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.416 | $1.33 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.13 | $0.520 | $1.11 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.520 | $1.11 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.520 | $2.05 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.94 | $0.540 | $2.13 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | sell | 7.8 | $0.388 | $3.03 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.66 | $0.298 | $1.09 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.306 | $1.27 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.360 | $1.36 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.380 | $1.44 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.86 | $0.270 | $1.04 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.280 | $1.08 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.370 | $0.97 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.710 | $1.68 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.720 | $1.71 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.400 | $1.05 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.250 | $1.07 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.323 | $1.17 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.332 | $1.2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.270 | $1.16 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 5.11 | $0.250 | $1.28 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.260 | $1.33 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 25?No | sell | 2.69 | $0.680 | $1.83 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 25?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.630 | $1.7 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.660 | $1.57 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.680 | $1.62 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.580 | $2.66 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.590 | $2.71 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.600 | $1.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.610 | $1.43 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 4.66 | $0.260 | $1.21 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.270 | $1.26 | May 16, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.02 | $0.350 | $1.41 | May 16, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.370 | $1.49 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?No | sell | 4.72 | $0.410 | $1.94 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.430 | $2.03 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 3.91 | $0.340 | $1.33 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.700 | $1.73 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.710 | $1.76 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.350 | $1.37 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.560 | $1.44 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.480 | $1.49 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.500 | $1.55 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.570 | $1.47 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.390 | $1.62 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Apr 11?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.540 | $2.25 | Apr 11, 2025 |