Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 537.39 | $0.465 | $314.37 | +$64.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 170.45 | $0.660 | $112.5 | 1h ago |
| No |
| 282.29 |
| $0.960 |
| $275.38 |
| +$4.38 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 301.2 | $0.830 | $260.54 | +$10.54 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 260.41 | $0.960 | $253.9 | +$3.91 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 286.9 | $0.840 | $248.17 | +$7.17 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 205.26 | $0.950 | $204.54 | +$9.54 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 170.72 | $0.879 | $166.02 | +$16.02 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 164.81 | $0.910 | $159.21 | +$9.23 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.900 | $158 | +$8 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 161.29 | $0.930 | $157.1 | +$7.1 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 173.68 | $0.864 | $156.31 | +$6.31 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August? | No | 170.45 | $0.880 | $149.15 | -$0.85 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 161.29 | $0.930 | $147.58 | -$2.42 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 174.42 | $0.860 | $142.15 | -$7.85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 114.55 | $0.550 | $95.65 | +$32.65 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 111.68 | $0.787 | $94.37 | +$6.52 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Yes | 88.2 | $0.891 | $85.81 | +$7.21 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 80.13 | $0.780 | $70.11 | +$7.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 88.98 | $0.702 | $69.4 | +$6.9 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 68.13 | $0.910 | $60.23 | -$1.77 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.900 | $53.06 | +$3.06 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 51.11 | $0.900 | $47.79 | +$1.79 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 51 | $0.870 | $47.51 | +$3.14 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 65.98 | $0.379 | $39.92 | +$14.92 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 39.77 | $0.880 | $34.4 | -$0.6 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes| sell |
| 168.53 |
| $0.740 |
| $124.75 |
| 5h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.610 | $43.57 | 7h ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?No | buy | 170.45 | $0.880 | $150 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 27.53 | $0.380 | $10.46 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10.42 | $0.440 | $4.58 | 1d ago |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 174.42 | $0.860 | $150 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 163.04 | $0.987 | $160.9 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 39 | $0.300 | $11.7 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 39 | $0.417 | $16.28 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.490 | $5.11 | 1d ago |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.991 | $5.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.991 | $6.56 | 1d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.990 | $5.25 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 97.02 | $0.520 | $50.45 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 163.04 | $0.920 | $150 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.68 | $0.864 | $150 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 11.69 | $0.520 | $6.08 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.530 | $6.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 357.14 | $0.575 | $205.27 | 2d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Yes | sell | 171.13 | $0.679 | $116.16 | 2d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | 2d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 8.44 | $0.989 | $8.35 | 2d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Yes | buy | 171.14 | $0.876 | $150 | 2d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 25.65 | $0.990 | $25.39 | 2d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 44.38 | $0.940 | $41.72 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 44.39 | $0.563 | $25 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 35.21 | $0.170 | $5.99 | 2d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 65.98 | $0.379 | $25 | 3d ago |
 Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 254.94 | $0.981 | $250 | 3d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 144.46 | $0.989 | $142.91 | 3d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 172.41 | $0.990 | $170.69 | 3d ago |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 83.83 | $0.120 | $10.06 | 3d ago |
| Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 83.83 | $0.298 | $25 | 3d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50.26 | $0.264 | $13.29 | 4d ago |
 Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 260.69 | $0.959 | $250 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.300 | $5.36 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.710 | $25 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 34.72 | $0.590 | $20.48 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 34.72 | $0.720 | $25 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.53 | $0.640 | $12.5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 76.44 | $0.995 | $76.04 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 185.34 | $0.978 | $181.26 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 55.91 | $0.695 | $38.86 | 5d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.780 | $10.17 | 6d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 15.82 | $0.790 | $12.5 | 6d ago |