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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 400K | $0.293 | $58K | -$59.36K |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 10K | $0.444 | $4.44K | Jun 12, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 20K |
| $0.260 |
| $2.7K |
| -$2.5K |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.76K | $0.420 | $2.5K | +$500 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.02K | $0.249 | $208.97 | -$791.03 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.01K | $0.198 | $85.12 | -$908.2 |
| buy |
| 8.33K |
| $0.581 |
| $4.84K |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 8.2K | $0.602 | $4.94K | Jun 11, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67M | $0.006 | $10K | Jun 3, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.91K | $0.537 | $7.47K | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 46.51K | $0.310 | $14.42K | May 4, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.340 | $17K | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.37K | $0.178 | $598.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.300 | $7.5K | Apr 15, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.120 | $3.6K | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.336 | $16.8K | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.84K | $0.300 | $14.95K | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.300 | $338.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.58K | $0.267 | $1.49K | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 9.24K | $0.581 | $5.37K | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.996 | $49.8K | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1M | $0.004 | $4K | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 494.98K | $0.003 | $1.48K | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 570.78K | $0.003 | $1.71K | Apr 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1M | $0.003 | $3K | Apr 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 964.35K | $0.003 | $2.89K | Apr 5, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.9K | $0.884 | $13.17K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.1K | $0.880 | $4.49K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 20K | $0.170 | $3.4K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.887 | $8.87K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.150 | $1.5K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.860 | $8.6K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.210 | $2.1K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 7.27K | $0.180 | $1.31K | Apr 3, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.880 | $8.8K | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.420 | $2K | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.02K | $0.249 | $1K | Mar 26, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.534 | $1.34K | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01K | $0.198 | $993.32 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.35K | $0.340 | $2.5K | Mar 19, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 958.76 | $0.417 | $400 | Mar 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 149.84 | $0.334 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |