Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 202.68 | $0.493 | $152.01 | +$52.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 128.21 |
| $0.780 |
| $93.59 |
| -$6.41 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 138.7 | $0.721 | $29.13 | -$70.87 |
| buy |
| 548.11 |
| $0.365 |
| $200 |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 398.77 | $0.125 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 592.4 | $0.169 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 307.8 | $0.325 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 333.97 | $0.299 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 236.41 | $0.423 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 229.04 | $0.873 | $200 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 36.44K | $0.055 | $2K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.051 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 141.17 | $0.708 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 202.68 | $0.493 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 138.7 | $0.721 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 283.84 | $0.035 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 152.16 | $0.657 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |