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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 36.02K | $0.889 | $33.68K | +$1.64K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 89.99 | $0.550 | $49.49 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| No |
| 24.56K |
| $0.937 |
| $23.61K |
| +$590.5 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.43K | $0.962 | $6.39K | +$214.16 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4K | $0.500 | $3.04K | +$1.04K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.09K | $0.842 | $1.87K | +$111.79 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 1.03K | $0.963 | $1.02K | +$27.82 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4K | $0.500 | $962 | -$1.04K |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 999.43 | $0.779 | $894.49 | +$115.95 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $93.5 | +$18.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.820 | $85.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 50 | $0.210 | $26.25 | +$15.75 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 30 | $0.420 | $18.75 | +$6.15 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.2 | -$0.8 |
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.997 |
| $4.99K |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Yes | sell | 530.22 | $0.920 | $487.74 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Yes | buy | 530.23 | $0.943 | $500 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.959 | $982.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.959 | $1.97K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 599.98 | $0.722 | $433.39 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.907 | $2K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.35K | $0.985 | $2.31K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 591.38 | $0.845 | $500 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.13K | $0.985 | $3.08K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.968 | $96.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 539.62 | $0.750 | $404.72 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.011 | $16.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.016 | $24 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.024 | $36 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.025 | $37.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.060 | $89.48 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.062 | $93 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.073 | $109.47 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.122 | $183 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.170 | $255 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.351 | $526.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.186 | $279 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.120 | $180.55 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 4K | $0.890 | $3.56K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5.62K | $0.890 | $5K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 312.34 | $0.770 | $240.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 3.2% and 4.0%?No | buy | 58.72 | $0.852 | $50 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.53K | $0.946 | $2.39K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.946 | $1.67K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.946 | $1.61K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.890 | $4.45K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.890 | $4.45K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | buy | 45.32 | $0.331 | $15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | sell | 59.87 | $0.630 | $37.72 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under | sell | 60.97 | $0.592 | $36.07 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | sell | 173.23 | $0.630 | $109.13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over | sell | 94.63 | $0.410 | $38.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over | sell | 74.62 | $0.640 | $47.76 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 624.69 | $0.800 | $500 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.881 | $1.5K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5Under | sell | 129.87 | $0.610 | $79.22 | Jun 26, 2026 |