Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala say "wall" at debate?Yes | buy | 76.62 | $0.442 | $33.88 | Sep 10, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 65.22 |
| $0.460 |
| $30 |
| Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.650 | $25 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.050 | $6.82 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 106.06 | $0.340 | $36.06 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?No | buy | 200 | $0.340 | $68 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Biden drops out by July 19?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.055 | $16.48 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 106.06 | $0.330 | $35 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Biden campaign accepts crypto donations before August?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 10+ Dem senators call on Biden to drop out by Friday?Yes | buy | 155.69 | $0.090 | $14 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Biden drops out by July 19?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.057 | $13.11 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.078 | $89.23 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 471.35 | $0.028 | $13.18 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.063 | $13.23 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.100 | $33 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes | sell | 315.25 | $0.190 | $59.9 | Jul 4, 2024 |
| Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 315.25 | $0.200 | $63.05 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 351 | $0.180 | $63.18 | Jul 4, 2024 |