Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.340 | $4.36 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.200 |
| $2 |
| Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?No | buy | 150.02 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?No | buy | 289 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.910 | $8.27 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 120.43 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 35.08 | $0.054 | $1.89 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | sell | 8.13 | $0.190 | $1.54 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.491 | $3.99 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.039 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.001 | $1.79 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.450 | $3 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.394 | $2.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.550 | $6.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.240 | $1.76 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 231.82 | $0.022 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 20?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 40.98 | $0.122 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.648 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 21.83 | $0.229 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |