Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.790 | $45.25 | +$5.75 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No | sell | 226 | $0.180 | $40.68 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 13 |
| $0.380 |
| $6.96 |
| +$2.02 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13 | $0.360 | $3.71 | -$0.98 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.100 | $3 | -$1 |
 Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | No | 3.06 | $0.690 | $2.95 | +$0.84 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13 | $0.380 | $2.93 | -$2.02 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.360 | $1.88 | -$2.79 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.560 | $1.3 | +$0.32 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 7.41 | $0.460 | $1.22 | -$2.19 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.760 | $1.11 | -$3.45 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 16 | $0.070 | $0.58 | -$0.54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.41 | $0.120 | $0.49 | +$0.09 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | No | 0.59 | $0.438 | $0.45 | +$0.19 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.110 | $0.42 | -$0.19 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 5.43 | $0.080 | $0.3 | -$0.14 |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.569 | $0.19 | -$0.26 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.360 | $0.16 | +$0.04 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.090 | $0.14 | +$0.04 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | No | 0.69 | $0.330 | $0.11 | -$0.11 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 0.75 | $0.200 | $0.08 | -$0.07 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.600 | $0.06 | -$0.02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.480 | $0.03 | -$0.9 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.080 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 357 |
| $0.138 |
| $49.2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.770 | $66.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.520 | $16.64 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Teresa Ruiz be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?No | sell | 316 | $0.050 | $15.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.050 | $1.45 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.760 | $4.56 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?No | sell | 32.47 | $0.300 | $9.74 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 7.21 | $0.340 | $2.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.23 | $0.610 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.42 | $0.330 | $2.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.23 | $0.610 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.2 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.11 | $0.620 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.22 | $0.320 | $2.31 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.630 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.2 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 7.2 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.5 | $0.280 | $2.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 7.05 | $0.625 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.2 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.2 | $0.350 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.64 | $0.330 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.11 | $0.620 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.41 | $0.340 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 7 | $0.350 | $2.45 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.23 | $0.610 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 7.64 | $0.330 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETUp | buy | 7.41 | $0.340 | $2.52 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.600 | $4.41 | Jul 2, 2026 |