Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.962 | $3.03 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.77 |
| $0.690 |
| $2.6 |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.820 | $1.9 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.660 | $2.2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will US add between 200k and 250k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.700 | $1.39 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.630 | $1.99 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.530 | $1.66 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.770 | $0.11 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will '360' win Record of the Year?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.968 | $1.18 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will 'Not Like Us' win Song of the Year?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.850 | $0.18 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.520 | $0.57 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.630 | $1.07 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.46 on November 29?Yes | buy | 0.92 | $0.950 | $0.87 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.540 | $0.77 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.56 | $0.870 | $0.49 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.880 | $0.52 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 0.48 | $0.600 | $0.29 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 0.16 | $0.993 | $0.16 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.001 | $0.54 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.950 | $0.19 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.004 | $1.02 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 0.53 | $0.974 | $0.52 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?No | buy | 0.68 | $0.949 | $0.65 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.920 | $0.52 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 0.68 | $0.790 | $0.54 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.790 | $0.12 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?No | buy | 0.41 | $0.910 | $0.37 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 80k before September?Yes | buy | 37.22 | $0.036 | $1.34 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.800 | $0.25 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.930 | $0.24 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 CFB: Florida St. (-10.5) vs. Georgia TechFlorida St. | buy | 1.14 | $0.510 | $0.58 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.977 | $0.11 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Raiders vs. 49ersRaiders | buy | 1.22 | $0.510 | $0.62 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.780 | $0.21 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.920 | $0.27 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Germany win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?No | buy | 0.54 | $0.870 | $0.47 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.600 | $0.35 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Palestine a UN member state before U.S. election?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.968 | $0.37 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.850 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.740 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 0.49 | $0.740 | $0.36 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.920 | $0.25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Democrat other than Biden wins the Election?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.560 | $0.18 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?SOL | buy | 0.16 | $0.950 | $0.15 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $45k before September?No | buy | 0.27 | $0.619 | $0.17 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 14.68K | $0.001 | $14.68 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Venezuela intervention by August 31?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.920 | $0.16 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Edmundo González arrested before October?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.710 | $0.37 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 VP debate before election?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.690 | $0.19 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?No | sell | 0.67 | $0.977 | $0.65 | Aug 5, 2024 |