Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 4.71K | $0.120 | $565.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 365.56 |
| $0.041 |
| $14.85 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 830 | $0.200 | $166 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 209.09 | $0.220 | $46 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.219 | $440 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 365.56 | $0.160 | $58.49 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.035 | $58.43 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 877.48 | $0.243 | $213.42 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.170 | $213.42 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 785.17 | $0.580 | $455.4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 869.57 | $0.023 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.175 | $200 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 676.7 | $0.998 | $675.35 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 435.56 | $0.620 | $270.05 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.025 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.37 | $0.180 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 25.62 | $0.971 | $24.88 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 417.6 | $0.970 | $405.17 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 79.84 | $0.620 | $49.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 275 | $0.180 | $49.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.63 | $0.780 | $19.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 25.41 | $0.786 | $19.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 148.77 | $0.589 | $87.68 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.023 | $9.76 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.730 | $10.58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.841 | $34.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 80.36 | $0.414 | $33.25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.45 | $0.569 | $35.55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.97 | $0.509 | $30 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 13.44 | $0.744 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.504 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.71 | $0.787 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.71 | $0.787 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 27.1 | $0.738 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 107.73 | $0.464 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.42 | $0.650 | $71.77 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.11 | $0.650 | $85.22 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 123.5 | $0.690 | $85.21 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.72 | $0.790 | $136.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.5 | $0.607 | $75 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | sell | 333.21 | $0.870 | $289.89 | Nov 10, 2025 |