Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.73 | $0.979 | $5.59 | -$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.880 | $3.33 | 24d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.49 |
| $0.966 |
| $5.48 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.19 | $0.983 | $5.04 | -$0.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 4.36 | $0.895 | $4.19 | +$0.29 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.74 | $0.762 | $4.12 | +$0.51 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 4.09 | $0.978 | $4.06 | +$0.06 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.83 | $0.949 | $2.65 | -$0.04 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.977 | $2.54 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 4.09 |
| $0.978 |
| $4 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.998 | $1.62K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?Yes | buy | 901.18 | $0.993 | $894.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 19?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.998 | $2.73K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.979 | $5.61 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.959 | $5.02 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.963 | $1.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.925 | $4.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.957 | $4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 7?Down | buy | 3.33 | $0.920 | $3.06 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.983 | $5.1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down on April 5?Down | buy | 5.59 | $0.880 | $4.91 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 3?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.880 | $3.83 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.952 | $4.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on March 29?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.940 | $5.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.930 | $5.61 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.82 | $0.991 | $3.79 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.968 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.983 | $3.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.989 | $1.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.895 | $3.9 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.974 | $3.21 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.920 | $3.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.951 | $3.6 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.929 | $4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.2 | $0.963 | $4.04 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.977 | $2.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.999 | $1.95K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.949 | $2.69 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.965 | $2.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 4.74 | $0.762 | $3.61 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.690 | $6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.860 | $6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.940 | $4.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.739 | $3.7 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.960 | $6.8 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.850 | $3.57 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.950 | $4.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Feb 17, 2026 |