Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.219 | $10.51 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 130.43 |
| $0.230 |
| $30 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.002 | $30 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 188.59 | $0.265 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.05 | $0.227 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.600 | $72 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.880 | $13.89 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 59.6 | $0.386 | $23 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.560 | $67.2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 207.4 | $0.014 | $2.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.760 | $12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 94 | $0.050 | $4.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.213 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 35.21 | $0.142 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.142 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 344.92 | $0.037 | $12.87 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 147.51 | $0.066 | $9.72 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 60.9 | $0.076 | $4.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.065 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 116.69 | $0.060 | $7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 54.32 | $0.270 | $14.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.463 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.464 | $9.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.465 | $13.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.2 | $0.267 | $11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.200 | $0.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.200 | $12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.03 | $0.210 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.03 | $0.499 | $7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.23 | $0.362 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.96 | $0.354 | $6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.352 | $8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 33.93 | $0.560 | $19 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 12.2 | $0.433 | $5.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.630 | $75.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 207.41 | $0.135 | $28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.819 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?No | sell | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 409.99 | $0.005 | $2.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.430 | $51.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?No | sell | 40 | $0.330 | $13.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 40 | $0.340 | $13.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |