Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.058 | $0.58 | 22h ago |
 |
| sell |
| 1.92 |
| $0.810 |
| $1.56 |
| 22h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.070 | $0.43 | 22h ago |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?No | sell | 14.86 | $0.220 | $3.27 | 22h ago |
 Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.720 | $5.23 | 22h ago |
 Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | 22h ago |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | 22h ago |
 Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 22h ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | 22h ago |
 Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?No | sell | 50 | $0.634 | $31.7 | 22h ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 22h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 0%-45%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 22h ago |
 Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 22h ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 76.17 | $0.300 | $22.85 | 22h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.820 | $49.2 | 22h ago |
 Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 42.37 | $0.360 | $15.25 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.850 | $42.49 | 1d ago |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 20.68 | $0.370 | $7.65 | 1d ago |
 Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 1d ago |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No | sell | 39.36 | $0.821 | $32.31 | 2d ago |
 Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.250 | $3.75 | 3d ago |
 Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.340 | $1.72 | 4d ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 4d ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.117 | $1.06 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.345 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?No | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 4d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.521 | $2.61 | 5d ago |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | 5d ago |
 Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 5d ago |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.51 | 5d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?No | sell | 20 | $0.576 | $11.52 | 6d ago |
 Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 182.84 | $0.864 | $157.97 | 6d ago |
 Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 6d ago |
 Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 6d ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15 | $0.360 | $5.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.120 | $2.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?No | sell | 40 | $0.220 | $8.8 | 7d ago |
 Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 6.45 | $0.490 | $3.16 | 7d ago |
 Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.057 | $0.85 | 7d ago |
 Will Blake Corum have 674.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | sell | 4.75 | $0.490 | $2.33 | 7d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.192 | $0.96 | 7d ago |