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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4PM ETUp | buy | 144.38 | $0.524 | $75.64 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.710 |
| $21.3 |
| Oct 13, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.64 | $0.250 | $10.91 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?Yes | sell | 27.5 | $0.740 | $20.35 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.200 | $3.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.42 | $0.240 | $8.02 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes | sell | 20.58 | $0.060 | $1.24 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 48.83 | $0.870 | $42.48 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 157.87 | $0.377 | $59.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 84.33 | $0.730 | $61.56 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | sell | 89.25 | $0.763 | $68.1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | sell | 91.26 | $0.860 | $78.48 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 157.88 | $0.400 | $63.15 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 75.28 | $0.863 | $65 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.710 | $17.32 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crown" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.014 | $0.61 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 97.72 | $0.720 | $70.36 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 27.5 | $0.800 | $22 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 92.05 | $0.870 | $80.08 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | sell | 130.86 | $0.790 | $103.38 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.93 | $0.920 | $15.58 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.690 | $18 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 167.45 | $0.320 | $53.58 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 75.11 | $0.890 | $66.85 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.069 | $3 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.964 | $6.88 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.040 | $0.12 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Yes | sell | 84.52 | $0.980 | $82.84 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.730 | $3.78 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 40.22 | $0.410 | $16.49 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 60.68 | $0.412 | $25 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 48.82 | $0.850 | $41.5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 29.92 | $0.650 | $19.45 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionYes | sell | 31.37 | $0.620 | $19.45 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 36.64 | $0.640 | $23.45 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.977 | $23.45 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.850 | $5.26 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | buy | 24.01 | $0.958 | $23 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?No | sell | 41.48 | $0.850 | $35.26 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.840 | $3.17 | Oct 9, 2025 |