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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.997 | $1.06 | Jul 11, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.12 |
| $0.968 |
| $1.08 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on July 6?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.995 | $1.36 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.987 | $1.21 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.995 | $2.08 | May 30, 2026 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | May 9, 2026 |
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Apr 30, 2026 |
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.997 | $1.06 | Apr 29, 2026 |
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.996 | $1.74 | Apr 29, 2026 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.995 | $1.05 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.998 | $1.08 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.998 | $1.36 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.997 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.25K | $0.001 | $11.25 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.19K | $0.001 | $14.19 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.22K | $0.001 | $12.22 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.05K | $0.001 | $11.05 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.11K | $0.001 | $11.11 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.03K | $0.001 | $11.03 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.03K | $0.001 | $12.03 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Miami (OH) vs. Western MichiganMiami (OH) | buy | 2.52 | $0.460 | $1.16 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.35K | $0.001 | $10.35 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.68K | $0.001 | $10.68 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.83K | $0.001 | $12.83 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.81K | $0.001 | $12.81 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.66K | $0.001 | $13.66 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.43K | $0.001 | $11.43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.22K | $0.001 | $12.22 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.26K | $0.001 | $10.26 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.77K | $0.001 | $10.77 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.24K | $0.001 | $11.24 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.920 | $1.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.515 | $1.21 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.560 | $2.22 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.640 | $1.55 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.620 | $1.98 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.610 | $1.77 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ETUp | buy | 2.35 | $0.510 | $1.2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.630 | $2.01 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.670 | $2.36 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 196.39 | $0.640 | $125.69 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 196.4 | $0.641 | $125.89 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.350 | $2.08 | Oct 9, 2024 |